Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 357.500376 406.276017 460.751367 526.374827 603.642406 692.164928 801.881030
2025-08-03 277.934662 339.247152 413.986778 512.838149 641.701935 806.173790 1035.538427
2025-08-10 235.707668 300.903127 384.925597 503.050256 667.940422 894.737141 1238.930044
2025-08-17 214.451228 284.250019 378.542695 518.274967 725.441578 1030.264937 1530.605068
2025-08-24 192.945975 263.552039 362.629161 515.933128 754.949348 1127.436329 1782.186916
2025-08-31 174.059914 243.848519 344.983245 507.388290 771.954356 1205.836157 2017.417996
2025-09-07 161.143586 231.125798 335.641290 509.477332 804.849715 1313.968624 2327.110536
2025-09-14 147.310160 215.476912 319.889137 498.814524 814.052132 1381.539579 2574.835770
2025-09-21 137.432341 204.877500 310.751434 497.566778 838.743636 1480.348383 2907.861255
2025-09-28 124.973387 189.065652 291.619004 476.784131 824.734333 1502.473496 3081.670340
2025-10-05 121.409081 187.213981 295.165935 496.063673 888.171206 1688.930800 3676.821514
2025-10-12 118.583807 186.264393 300.016581 518.088214 960.061431 1906.786795 4415.597507
2025-10-19 112.587331 179.651611 294.732682 521.090459 995.230607 2054.796803 5033.652298
2025-10-26 104.696466 169.192901 281.742040 507.802881 994.342634 2120.674083 5450.119269
2025-11-02 98.120534 160.523262 271.208534 498.121400 999.731557 2202.529416 5943.440244
2025-11-09 95.434486 158.543225 272.795901 513.166480 1062.997523 2442.840536 7032.151111
2025-11-16 90.782081 152.640036 266.447814 510.852384 1085.428448 2581.660745 7842.366894
2025-11-23 85.803080 145.784055 257.699254 502.409020 1091.798834 2678.167601 8544.902166
2025-11-30 82.421643 141.669399 253.955357 504.473288 1124.547963 2857.583380 9653.895783
2025-12-07 77.946919 135.191270 245.010964 493.936699 1123.532021 2937.045443 10396.923148
2025-12-14 74.769444 130.996777 240.353173 492.703687 1146.859029 3097.606206 11583.053920
2025-12-21 69.915206 123.267111 227.924641 472.165306 1115.235246 3075.874117 11918.911131
2025-12-28 69.158640 123.514409 232.030874 491.218320 1196.068093 3447.323109 14418.547930